Canon 1D Mk4 (EOS-1D MkIV) - replacement for the 1D Mk320th Sept 2008 - AF developments and end of production?
Most of the stuff on this page is RUMOUR, so have that (big) pinch of salt ready. Latest articles (not rumours... :-) on our site: Keith is Travelling in Colorado If you've got any info, let us know at 1DSreplacement@northlight-images.co.uk 2008 September 22nd Some 1D4 specs [DPR]
20th The 1D4 is expected for next March, whilst it may even be launched with the 1Ds4 if Canon feel that they can steal a march on any new Nikon FF cameras. However with distinct noises of a Nikon announcement as soon as November [D3x page] who knows when we might see changes. We also noted a claim [DPR] that 1D3 production has stopped From the 1Ds4 page
3rd More Canon technical info.... 60D features, 70D prospects, feature migration from the 'pro' range and the wholesale redesign of what a 'professional' camera is. (warning - mentions EVF - I know this scares some people ;-) Info on the 60D page (now updated with lots more info just received) August 24th Following on from the general Canon technical plans information we received the other day (see 5D2 page) we were told to expect to start seeing some serious price drops on the 1Ds3 in readiness for new 1 series cameras next year. Not until other high MP competitors (Sony, Nikon) start shipping though. 22nd Although I hear of some dealer shortages in Germany, I'd not expecting the next '1' series camera until early next year. In an interesting FM post there is some comment about what we can expect to see before too long from Canon. Some quotes:
Given the 'leaked' 50D specs, it will be interesting to see if the next cameras from Canon show any of these features. We checked with one of our previous sources, who confirmed that much of the FM post seemed quite accurate - we've some updated info on this on the 5D2 page 12th After perhaps the shock of not seeing a continuous wall of white lenses at the Olympics, 'discussion' has started on the next 50MP 1D4 at DPR, of course the more knowledgeable posters are pointing out the well known lens resolution problems that have already rendered my 21MP 1Ds3 almost useless... ;-) The 50MP figure pops up every so often, based on that experimental sensor info from Canon a while ago. We've the 'new technology' info we were sent this time last year:
Look for any new prime 'L' glass to be extremely sharp if it's going to be for this ;-) 2008 August 6th After people have read the article by Rob Galbraith on 1D3 AF issues, there has been renewed talk about a 1D4 or 1D3N. Note though, from many of the 'comments' I've seen, I suspect a lot of people didn't really read all of it ;-) Whilst many still suggest it will be three years between 1D3 and 4 (ie early 2010) there are lots of comments suggesting that Canon might pull out something a bit sooner. In a DPR thread it was pointed out that: "in Europe Canon has been selling quite a few 1D mkIII bodies on Ebay through their outlet channel lately. All were refurbished bodies with full warranty. It surprised me though that they were selling about 20-30 of them in just a few weeks. Most were sold for about 2/3 of lowest new price." July 8th Renewed speculation of multiple Canon releases (see 5d2 page for general details) now include a new 1 series camera - 'just' 10MP and with superb low light performance. I do quite a lot of available light work, and while my 1Ds3 is good, a FF 1 series high ISO special would, even at 10MP, be excellent. The clients I have for this sort of work rarely want huge prints and I do have to remember just what I could get from the 11MP of the 1Ds
May 28th In true rumour style I note a call [POTN] for a 1D3 replacement in February :-) In a bit more solid support of this I heard from someone who was at a Canon presentation, where it was stated that there would not be a new 1D series camera this year... 11th A 10.1 MP FF sensor for the 1D3n? Comment on a site (Google translation) Japanese 6th Some Autumn 1DMk3N info? Japanese page (Google translation for amusement ;-) April 30th At FM there's a post suggesting June for the next series of Canon releases. As well as the usual 5D2 there is a 1DMk3N and two lenses (note no appearance of June in the list below) 23rd With the expected non-announcement yesterday, there's been a lot more speculation about a possible 1D3n appearing this summer. For the seers out there it's worth looking at the release dates of the One series
The IIn does look a bit of an aberation. I'd personally expect a (FF) Mk4 rather than seeing a IIIn. It -might- come in for PMA 2009 but I'd expect a 2.5-3 year cycle like before. Of course that doesn't rule out the fabled 3D next year, of even a cheaper FF camera such as is alluded to in the Canon Exec's recent remarks (5D2 page). The FF landscape should look a bit different by then ;-) My own thought is that we will see quite a bit more new glass yet this year (and yes I'm still personally looking for a couple of all new tilt/shift lenses) 18th At DCW there is an interview (in Japanese) that drops a few hints about what Canon is planning. Here's one translation from babelfish and one from Google (more info and translations on the 5D2 page) Some have seen some of this as evidence for another full frame camera other than the 5D replacement. However, if you look at the machine translations they could say almost anything. Also, knowing the somewhat eliptical way (to me) that Japanese executives describe business plans, it could mean almost anything. 9th Another 1D3n rumour at USPI "a Canon 1d MKIIIn is on its way around Sept, full frame" March 12th Is there an announcement of something this Autumn? Lots of rumours on the 5D2 page, which includes this, about something else new... "The new Canon flagship, this Fall, will have a "1.5:1 price/performance advantage to the Nikon flagship." (Read carefully: this statement refers to the coming Canon flagship, not the 5D II being discussed here)." Could this be the high speed FF camera to (hopefully) put some of Canon's 1D3 AF woes behind them? February 6th Some future hints in an interview with Chuck Westfall at CNET.
"-- With Nikon and now Sony adding weight to the full-frame market, what role is there for the in-between sensor size, APS-H? (It's about halfway between the full-frame sensors used in the high-end SLRs and the APS-C sensors use in the top-selling models such as the Rebel XTi and 40D. The APS-H is used in the 1D Mark III and its predecessors.) So it's an FF 1D4, with OLED display, built in GPS and powered by methanol (You can also see this in this 2005 PDF with his thoughts on where digital cameras were going (don't expect too much! ;-) 5th The news that Canon have a 'Final Fix' for the 1D3 AF problem (see 1D3 page) is still being digested, although as yet Canon have not actually said anything officially (no-one believe they were naive enough to think news like this would be kept to the select few originally informed) What effect this has on the follow up for the 1D3 is unclear, although it now seems much more likely to be full frame. In an interview with Chuck Westfall of Canon US in the video on this page (parts in English after about 50 seconds) he notes that the when the 1D3 was announced, there was no full frame competition, whereas there is now. Given he's a PR man this is about as strong a hint as any that the 1D'x' will be full frame. Did he said that Canon would 'eventually' move to FF for all but introductory cameras a few years ago? (this is often supposed, but see December 6th 2006 in our rumours archive for what he actually said) January 30th Will there be a trade-in program once whatever follows the 1D3 appears? This from FM "...the Canon rep told him that there will probably be a program where present owners of the 1DmkIII will be permitted to turn in there cameras toward a new 1DmkIIIN. When there will be a MKIIIN wasn't clear." 16th Some latest comments we were sent about something (24MP) that might fulfil the role of 1D3 follow-up are on the 5D2 page (25FPS version later this year/early next -- £1800 with a range of 'kit' lenses :-) 4th More suggestions from Germany, pointing to a recent 500 Euro fall in 1D3 prices. 2007 December 2nd Whilst I personally think it's too early for any replacement to be announced (after 1 year), there's a post on a German board which roughly translates (Google) as: "In brief: In February comes a new 1D MarkIIIN on the market, meanwhile recalled all 1D MarkIII in the affected serial numbers, and conversion to a new MarkIIIN." i.e. swap your dodgy 1D3 for a shiny new 1D3N :-) :-) November 13th In an interesting mail we were sent, which updated some details of the material we had in September, it would seem that there will be no 1D Mk. IIIN and no 1D Mk. IV... It's the 1Dx (or whatever 'x' is ;-) "The 1DMk3 AF issues have been a great embarrassment for Canon. The camera is not selling as well as hoped. The D3 and Nikon's new lenses are now seen as a serious threat to the sports and photojournalism market segments. The 1D III was intended to be a ground-breaking camera, but now is considered 'Kyou' or bad luck, attributed to it being the 4th camera in the 1D Series. The new camera -will- be a 1D but with a new name - expect it to appear in Aug/Sept of 2008" Some 'headline' specs
Whilst I always make a point of reminding people that these rumour pages are just that, and to take what you see here accordingly, this bit of info fits well into other stuff we've had (as good rumours should! ;-)
31st October Whilst waiting for Canon to announce the details of the fix for the 1D3 AF problems, I notice that people are starting to ask about a possible 1D3N or 1D4. The 1D2N came out about 18 months after the 1D2, so if Canon want to add a better LCD and improve the AF on liveview, then look for an announcement ready in time for Photokina 2008 (see our info below). Look for a slew of updated features, but probably not the sensor. One thing that may well move this on nicely is the return of Nikon as a real competitor in many areas that Canon had perhaps been a bit too comfortable in... 17th September From our large quantity of Canon related info received recently there's some pointers to what could be in the MK4 Digic IV uses less power, and is faster than the dual Digic 3 found in the 1D3 and 1Ds3. In particular it can support 16bit raw and the larger 40-50MP sensors under development. With the larger sensors, it also supports pixel-binning where pixels are agregated to deliver low noise and higher ISO performance at lower resolutions. Canon is working on a new generation CMOS sensor lower voltage, full 100% cover micro-lenses and better dynamic range allowing 16 bit A/D per pixel raw files. These will support a clean 6400 ISO similar to today's 1600 and go to 25600 with acceptable noise. The next generation low voltage CMOS generally gives 1 to 2 stops lower noise at higher ISOs Target for this is the next generation of the 1D series cameras in 2010, before spreading to other models. These are being trialled with 'normal' sensors and others at 40-50MP in FF format (not 'in the field' for a year or so) Canon is very excited about these sensors seeing them as being as big a step up in performance as their move from CCD to CMOS a decade ago. What to do with those 50MP images... Canon is considering built in hard drives (moving or solid state) in the 80-100gb range in future generations of cameras mostly likely in a optional grip. A even higher FPS, with mirror lockup just using sensor contrast AF allowing even higher frame rates. Dynamic 1.3 crop is an option, but was not seen as an important feature at the time by people testing the 1D3 Canon have working MPEG DIGIC III code for their P&S range. This was tried in some of the test cameras sent out during 1D Mk3 trials. It's expected that this will appear in the entry level camera (xxxD range) next year (2008) Canon is seeing this as an important feature in the 1D Mk IV range in 2010 (it would be HD video) 1DMk3nThere might yet be a 1DMk3n - but given the 3 year development cycle this won't be decided until next year. Options include
23rd August Nikon move to FF too (Nikon D3 info) Very interesting specs and well worth a look for 1D3 users - look to see some of these features in the 1D3N ;-) Note the attention in the press release given to 11FPS and the AF system ;-) When was that camera announced?
The original EOS 1DMk3
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